Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.243471 0.281350 0.324466 0.377444 0.441153 0.515753 0.610387
2025-09-21 0.185446 0.234178 0.295992 0.381335 0.497986 0.654653 0.885861
2025-09-28 0.151279 0.203095 0.274012 0.380568 0.540938 0.780686 1.181134
2025-10-05 0.132165 0.186308 0.265099 0.392079 0.599523 0.940278 1.577601
2025-10-12 0.117488 0.172386 0.256445 0.400204 0.652384 1.102939 2.038496
2025-10-19 0.105906 0.160813 0.248667 0.406983 0.703044 1.274599 2.585697
2025-10-26 0.097580 0.152870 0.244985 0.419281 0.765688 1.486867 3.315560
2025-11-02 0.089308 0.143701 0.237533 0.422827 0.811621 1.678648 4.094248
2025-11-09 0.081863 0.134874 0.229206 0.422812 0.849776 1.865233 4.963302
2025-11-16 0.075040 0.126249 0.219928 0.418994 0.878437 2.038709 5.900575
2025-11-23 0.068777 0.117881 0.209954 0.411835 0.897562 2.194609 6.886228
2025-11-30 0.065309 0.114277 0.208666 0.423101 0.964249 2.506708 8.673435
2025-12-07 0.060157 0.107009 0.199337 0.415193 0.981642 2.686517 10.114627
2025-12-14 0.056614 0.102517 0.195176 0.418739 1.031486 2.992927 12.440074
2025-12-21 0.053061 0.097625 0.189544 0.417745 1.068680 3.275936 14.986036
2025-12-28 0.050957 0.095444 0.189465 0.430599 1.150845 3.764317 19.358768
2026-01-04 0.048749 0.092808 0.188024 0.439690 1.224607 4.263705 24.643791
2026-01-11 0.046623 0.090126 0.186140 0.447280 1.296376 4.800320 31.265223
2026-01-18 0.045051 0.088478 0.186448 0.461058 1.394499 5.523159 41.198732
2026-01-25 0.043016 0.085615 0.183508 0.465033 1.459318 6.133638 51.815351
2026-02-01 0.040929 0.082443 0.179448 0.465016 1.509772 6.710404 64.003048
2026-02-08 0.038792 0.078972 0.174268 0.460736 1.542772 7.220053 77.331481
2026-02-15 0.036644 0.075302 0.168201 0.452715 1.558626 7.646553 91.381542